A | 南海海域的风云变幻，总是牵动着世界的目光。 Planes packed with summer travelers boosted Delta Air Lines to a $1.11 billion profit in the third quarter, and the carrier said Thursday that it expects revenue to keep rising into the holiday season.Profit was up 59% from a year earlier, as strong ticket sales — especially for premium seats and international flights — helped Delta shrug off higher labor costs.The Atlanta-based airline predicted ranges for fourth-quarter and full-year profit that mostly exceed Wall Street expectations.“I think we’re closing the year strong, and the holiday bookings that we see right now are pretty good,” CEO Ed Bastian said in an interview. “Domestic (travel) is solid, and international is really strong.”U.S. airlines are flying high as the travel recovery that began last year shows few signs of slowing down.Delta increased its passenger-carrying capacity an aggressive 16% and was able to fill all those extra seats. Travelers flew 64 billion miles on the airline in the quarter, a 17% increase, and they filled 88% of the seats on the average flight, a point higher than last summer.Revenue from ticket sales in the main cabin grew 12% — and 17% for premium seating. Money from Delta’s loyalty program soared 21%.The program, called SkyMiles, has become so popular that there are far more passengers hoping for upgrades to better seats than available seats. Lines can grow long at Delta lounges at busy airports like Atlanta and New York’s JFK.But when Delta announced changes to deal with the overcrowding last month — including basing elite frequent-flyer status purely on spending, and limiting lounge access for holders of Delta credit cards — the reaction from longtime customers was quick and brutal. Some vowed to switch airlines. Alaska Airlines and JetBlue fished for disgruntled Delta members by promising elite status in their programs. Even Bastian admitted the airline “ probably went too far.” Bastian has promised to modify the unpopular changes, but he hasn’t given any details yet.“We are working on that. We’ll be announcing something in the coming days,” Bastian said in the interview. He said he has received “a lot of feedback – everyone had their own ideas as to how we might restructure the program. Almost universally, people acknowledged that we needed to do something.” Delta's third-quarter profit, adjusted to exclude one-time items, was $2.03 per share, 8 cents better than forecast by analysts in a FactSet survey. Revenue rose 11% to $15.49 billion, also beating expectations.For the fourth quarter, Delta said revenue will rise as much as 11% from a year ago and it will earn between $1.05 to $1.30 per share. Analysts expected $1.09.The airline predicted that full-year profit will land between $6 and $6.25 per share after saying in June it would be at the top end of a $5-to-$6 range. The short-term outlook would be rosier if not for a recent pickup in jet fuel prices — although fuel is still much cheaper than it was a year ago. Bastian expressed confidence that Delta and other carriers can raise prices enough to cover any increase in fuel expense. Shares of Delta were virtually flat in morning trading.。
B | 日前，我方正式对外发布公告，宣布将在南海粤西外海一片海域划定禁航区，为期五天，从8月24日开始。这看似常规的操作，却引发了外界诸多猜测：究竟发生了什么，需要如此大规模的封锁海域？公告上给出的解释简单明了：为进行演练，其中包含多项实弹射击项目。
C | 目的直白，保障国内外民用船只的安全。 几乎就在公告发布的同时，南海另一片海域也骤然笼罩在禁航的阴影之下。北京时间8月23日，我方再次发布公告，宣布海南岛东南侧的南海海域将迎来为期三天的禁航期。同样的理由，实弹射击演练。短短二十四小时内，中国南海连续爆发了两场实弹军演，这是否预示着南海局势的升级？仔细分析，答案恰恰相反。
D | 这连同后续的两场演习，更像是一场宣告：围绕南海主权角逐的长期博弈，已经渐入尾声，乃至可以说已经尘埃落定。
E | 回顾这段时间发生在南海的事件，会发现这并非一次突发的冲突，而是一场精心设计的博弈，其过程可以清晰地划分为三个阶段。起初，菲律宾急于施压，于8月21日派遣三架飞机未经许可侵入黄岩岛领空。值得玩味的是，这三架飞机都是非武装侦察机，明显并非为了正面冲突而来，而是另有所图：蓄意制造舆论导向，企图博取同情和支持。
F | 面对菲律宾的试探，我方果断出击，却采取了一种颇为巧妙的策略，并非简单的驱离，而是兵分三路，出其不意地掌控局势。高空之上，战斗机威慑震慑，全程避免与菲方飞机直接接触，切断其碰瓷的机会。低空之下，直升机负责近距离跟踪，通过无线电喊话和伴飞的方式，直接有效驱离。而海面之上，长期部署在黄岩岛附近的军舰和海警船艇，则发挥着情报支援和海面管控的双重作用，构筑起一张严密的防御网。 在多路夹击之下，菲律宾的几架小飞机彻底无所遁形，最后只能灰溜溜地撤离。然而，菲律宾人并未就此罢休，不到48小时后，他们再次发起挑战，组织了一场号称七国联军的南海多边联合巡航。然而，仔细一看，真正参与巡航的国家，不过是澳大利亚和加拿大两支力量，澳大利亚出动了护卫舰和海上巡逻机，而加拿大则仅派出了海军力量。这充分说明，菲律宾并非没有分寸，小马科斯政府深知，仅凭几架飞机根本无法撼动我方在南海的实力，更没有能力与我方海警抗衡。于是，菲律宾另辟蹊径，试图通过域外力量给自己壮胆。 然而，人多势众在中国面前，并不能带来任何优势。我方随即采取行动，连续发布了两道海域禁航令，并在南海展开了实弹射习演练。这一举动背后的信号异常清晰：菲律宾也好，澳大利亚和加拿大也罢，如果真有胆量，就等我们真正拉开架势后再来南海巡航。
G | 结果不出所料，后续的巡航行动很快便偃旗息鼓，归于平静。我军不费一兵一卒，仅仅通过两场实弹演习，就成功化解了菲律宾酝酿已久的区域风暴，南海风云，也终将归于平静。
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